As the 2012-13 College Basketball regular seasons begins to dwindle down, selection sunday a day where many teams sit in anticipation to see if they get into the big dance or not is only a couple of weeks away.

Every season there are teams that deserve to get in while others don’t. So here are my  teams that I believe who deserve to get in and those who don’t.

1. Oklahoma (16-8, 7-5, 4th BIG12)/ RPI(Rank): 0.6234 (19)/ SOS(Rank) 0.6002 (9) OU

IN/OUT: IN

Oklahoma finds themselves currently in the NCAA Tournament at this point of the season. With key wins against Oklahoma State, Baylor and Kansas the Sooners have an impressive resume. Losses to Arkansas (14-9), Stephen F. Austin (20-2) and a 2-5  record against the top 50 in RPI have many committee members second guessing the Sooners, who are looking for their first NCAA Tournament appearance since 2009.  The Sooners have a chance to solidify their bid for the NCAA Tournament. The loss to Oklahoma State hurts the Sooners but with Baylor and Iowa State left on their schedule the Sooners can still improve their record and resume.

2. North Carolina (18-7, 7-5, 3rd ACC)/ RPI(Rank): 0.6026 (36)/ SOS(Rank) 0.5748 (29)North-Carolina

IN/OUT: OUT

As of right now the Tar Heels are out of the NCAA Tournament. With a 1-6 record against the RPI top 25 (the only win came against No.20 UNLV). The Tar Heels lost to No.1 Indiana 83-59, No.8 Miami twice 68-59, 87-61 and No.18 North Carolina State 91-83.

The Tar Heels have struggled all year and need big wins towards the end of the season and ACC tournament. The Tar Heels had a chance to boost their resume when they took on No.2 Duke on Feb.13, but failed to hold an early lead and lost 73-68. If North Carolina can win out the rest of the season, the committee may give the Tar Heels a second look.

3. Temple (17-8, 6-5, 9th ATL10)/ RPI(Rank): 0.5952 (40)/ SOS(Rank) 0.5631 (46)temple owls logo

IN/OUT: IN

With wins against Syracuse and Villanova on the road, the Owls have the key victories to sneak them into getting a bid. With eight games left in the regular season, the Owls have four marquee match-ups they must win. The win against UMass was a big help to their resume.

Temple has to square off against fellow Bubble teams La Salle (16-6, 6-3, 4th ATL10), Charlotte (17-6, 5-4, 8th ATL10) and VCU (19-5, 5-4, 9th ATL10). If Temple can win three out of the four games the Owls will find themselves dancing in the NCAA Tournament.

4. North Carolina State (17-7, 6-5, 5th ACC)/ RPI(Rank): 0.6285 (17)/ SOS(Rank) 0.6025 (8)ncstate_logo

IN/OUT: IN

The Wolf pack entered the 2012-13 season with high expectations, but have faltered in ACC play. North Carolina State best win came against Duke on Jan. 12, when the Wolfpack won 84-75. N.C. State hasn’t had any bad losses this year.

They lost two non-conference games to Oklahoma State and Michigan. The rest of their losses came against ACC foes Maryland, Wake Forest, Virginia, Miami (FL) and Duke. Since the Wolfpack are members in the tough and unforgiving ACC their strength of schedule will help them get into the tournament.

5. Indiana State (16-10, 9-6, 3rd MVC) 

IN/OUT: OUTIndianaState

The Sycamores have four top 50 RPI wins and five bad losses after the horrendous game they played against Missouri State. Indiana State can not afford another bad loss. The Sycamores still have one tough match-up against Wichita State on Feb. 19.

6. Colorado (17-8, 7-6, 5th PAC 12)/RPI(Rank): 0.6299 (16)/ SOS(Rank) 0.5915 (13)logo.Colo_

IN/OUT: IN

The Buffs have been a team that has been very interesting to watch this season. The Buffs are 8-6 against the NCAA RPI Rank top 100, going 2-2 against the top 25. The Buffs had an extremely important win against No.9 Arizona.

The overtime loss to Arizona State hurts the Buffs a bit as ASU (19-7, 8-5 Pac-12) is another bubble team, but the Buffs should still get in.

First Four In: Villanova, Ole Miss, Missouri and Iowa State

First Four Out: Kentucky, UMass, Wyoming and Air Force

 

CHi

With a perfect 6-0-0 (12 points) record the Chicago Blackhawks true test will come on their six game road trip starting Jan.30 in Minnesota.

In a shortened season the Blackhawks have already established themselves as the best team in the NHL. The Blackhawks will be away from the “Madhouse on Madison” as Disney on Ice presents Rockin’ Ever After takes over the United Center.

The first half of the trip will feature match-ups against the Minnesota Wild (2-2-1, five points), the Vancouver Canucks (2-2-2, six points) and the Calgary Flames (1-2-1, three points). The Blackhawks will face these three teams in a span of four nights. The first slice of the trip should be a piece of cake for the Hawks, as the first three teams have had an average start to their 2013 crusade.

The second part of the road trip won’t be as smooth. The Hawks first test will be against the San Jose Sharks (5-0-0, 10 points), who is the only other undefeated team in the NHL and behind the Blackhawks in the Western Conference. This early season face-off can very well be the future Western Conference final pairing.

The Blackhawks will then travel back to Phoenix where the Coyotes will look to avenge the early season 6-4 loss. The Coyotes have improved since Chicago departed, though: they have won both of their home games since hosting Chicago, beating Columbus 5-1, and shutting out Nashville, 4-0.

The road trip ends with a clash in Music City against the Nashville Predators. The Blackhawks have struggled against defenseman Shea Weber’s and goalie Pekka Rinne’s Predators, going 5-5-2 in the past two seasons.

The Blackhawks take this trip after an already grueling road schedule against Los Angeles, Phoenix, Dallas and Columbus over a span of 10 days. This trip will cover more than 5,600 miles within a span of two weeks. This will test the Hawks and give us a clearer picture of who is the best team in the NHL.

Three keys to a successful trip.

corey-crawford1. Goalie play

One of the biggest flaws to the 2011-12 season is now the Blackhawks strength. I’m talking about their net-minders. So far this season Corey Crawford has compiled a 5-0 record with a 1.78 GAA. Ray Emery has only played in one game having appeared in the Phoenix shoot-out. Emery holds a 1-0 record with a 4.00 GAA.

Emery will start in a couple of games this road trip and he needs to show a better effort between the cross bars. Crawford needs to continue to suck up every puck like he has so far this season.

 

hi-res-143083311_crop_650x4402. Defensemen need to get in on points

The Blackhawks defense has only given up 13 goals this season and an average 2.6 goals per game. The defense will need to get a little better as the Canucks, Sharks and Coyotes have an impressive offensive attack.

Defensemen Brent Seabrook and former James Norris Memorial Trophy award winner Duncan Keith (2009-10) need to step up their play. Keith has a plus/minus of -5 while his partner Seabrook has -4. These guys need to start adding to their plus/minus.

Joel Quenneville, Viktor Stalberg3. Keep the intensity up

Ever since the first puck of the season was dropped, the Blackhawks have been playing  high intensity hockey. Their offense has been led by a rejuvenated Patrick Kane (eight points), a healthy Marian Hossa (eight points), a crafty Patrick Sharp (six points) and the man with the “C” on his sweater Jonathan Toews (six points).

These six games are going to be tough to stay healthy and intense. The Blackhawks seemed to lose their intensity during the Detroit Red Wings game, in which the Blackhawks won 2-1 in overtime.

If the Blackhawks can do these three things, the Blackhawks will come back home from this tough stretch of games with more victories and will be the best team in the NHL.

Blackhawks ruin Kings opener.

Posted: 20th January 2013 by mackie2912 in Uncategorized
Tags: ,

The Blackhawks traveled to Los Angeles, where an enthusiastic crowd watched the 2012 Stanley Cup banner raised to the rafters to join the 12 Lakers banners. With a long opening ceremony showing pictures of the players with the cup throughout the year and the ring presentation, the puck was finally about to drop for the first time since June 11.

A packed Staples Center soon turned to silence as the Blackhawks showed the Kings that last year’s improbable run won’t translate into this shortened NHL season. Patrick Kane, captain Johnathan Toews and Michael Frolik scored goals in the first 15 minutes to jump out to a 3-0 lead.

The Blackhawks never looked back as Marian Hossa scored two goals adding to the route. At the final whistle the Blackhawks spoiled the Kings party with a 5-2 victory. The Blackhawks used superior speed and skill to out play the defending champions. The Blackhawks also did something they struggled with the entire 2012 season, score on a power play. Last year, the Blackhawks powerplay percentage ranked 26 as they had a powerplay percentage of 15.2.

What does this win mean? Well I’ll admit that this victory is too early to predict, but with this blow-out win over the defending champions the Blackhawks should be viewed as a top threat to contend for the 2013 cup. The prediction machine predicts the Blackhawks to finish sixth in the Western Conference. This baffles me. The prediction machine has the St. Louis Blues (which is understandable due to the fact they are an amazing team), Detroit Red Wings, Vancouver Canucks, Nashville Predators and Kings ahead of the Hawks’.

If Corey Crawford can continue to play like he did against the Kings, the Blackhawks will be hard to beat. Crawford was very inconsistent throughout the 2011-12 season. Goaltending will be the key for a successful 2013 season. We’ll see if the Blackhawks can continue their hot start to the season as they get the chance to get revenge against the Phoenix Coyotes, the team who knocked them out of the 2012 playoffs.

On a side note, Daniel Carcillo suffered a lower body injury during the third period of the Blackhawks’ 5-2 victory against the Kings. According to Hawks’ head coach Joel Quenneville “Danny is going to miss some time here. We’ll know more exactly about the time frame by (Sunday).” This was Carcillo’s first game since ACL surgery a year ago. The loss of Carcillo will hurt the Blackhawks a bit, but the Hawks’ will survive.

The Blackhawks will take center ice Sunday against the Coyotes 9:00 PM (CT).

 

The Baseball Writers Association of America (BBWAA) voted a shutout this year, as no candidate on the 2013 Baseball Hall of Fame ballot reached the 75 percent mark for the first time since 1996.

Houston Astros star and first-year eligible Craig Biggio led all 37 candidates in votes with 388 (68.2%), which was just 39 shy of the 75 percent needed. Finishing second was Jack Morris (Detroit Tigers, Minnesota Twins, Toronto Blue Jays and Cleveland Indians) with 385 votes for 67.7 percent. This was Morris’ 13th year on the ballot and next year will be the last time his name will appear. Finishing third was Biggio’s long time Astros teammate Jeff Bagwell, who received 339 votes for 59.6 percent.

Steroid-tainted ball players Barry Bonds (Pittsburgh Pirates and San Francisco Giants), Roger Clemens (Boston Red Sox, Toronto Blue Jays, New York Yankees and Houston Astros) and Sammy Sosa (Texas Rangers, Chicago White Sox, Chicago Cubs and Baltimore Orioles) we’re on the ballot for the first time this year. The BBWA took the three players ties with PEDs seriously as these stars received a low amount of votes.

“The Rocket” received only 214 votes (37.6%), Bonds (the all-time home run king) gathered up 206 votes (36.2%) and rounding out the three was Sosa, who was able to collect 71 votes (12.5%). Other PED linked players on this years ballot included Mark McGwire (Oakland A’s and St. Louis Cardinals), who received 96 votes for 16.9 percent and Rafael Palmeiro (Chicago Cubs, Texas Rangers and Baltimore Orioles) who just survived next years ballot with 50 votes for 8.8 percent.

With no Hall of Fame inductee this season, the BBWA should have a flourishing class of 2014. With strong new first-year eligible players and the core of this year’s ballot returning, I believe that at least five players will get inducted next year. The only question is who? I’ve taken account of all the players on next years ballot and here is whom I believe deserves to have a plaque in 2014.

1. Jack Morris 

Why? Morris played in the big leagues for 18 seasons spanning from 1977 to 1994. The right-hander dominated hitters with a fastball, slider, a devastating forkball and a competitive spirit. Over his 18-year career, Morris compiled a 254-186 record with 2,478 strikeouts and a 3.90 Earned Run Average (ERA). His 254 wins rank him 42nd all time. Morris also was a five time All-Star (1981, 1984, 1985, 1987, 1991), four time World Series champion (1984, 1991, 1992, 1993), the 1991 World Series MVP, two time Babe Ruth Award winner (1984, 1991) and pitched a no-hitter against the Chicago White Sox on April 7, 1984.

In the 1980’s, Morris started the most games, pitched the most innings and had the most wins of any pitcher in that decade. With all the great accomplishments Morris had many flaws. Morris ranks No.8 on the all time MLB list for wild pitches with 206. Morris also had a career ERA+ of 105, and only placed in the top 10 in ERA+ in four seasons and never ranked higher than fourth. His 39.3 wins above replacement (WAR) player according to Baseball Reference, was good for only 140th all-time among pitchers. Morris also never won a Cy Young.

Taking the good with the bad, WAR wasn’t around when Morris was pitching. Morris’ stats are good enough for a plaque in Cooperstown. He will be in his final year of eligibility in 2014. He received 67.7 percent of the votes in 2013 and should make the cut next year.

2014 Percentage Prediction: 75.2

2. Craig Biggio 

Why? Biggio was a Hall of Fame snub without any question. Biggio played his entire 20-year baseball career with the Astros (1988-2007). Biggio played second base, catcher and the entire outfield during his career racking up 3,060 hits, ranking 20th on the career hit list.

Biggio’s was a seven time All-Star (1991, 1992, 1994-1998), a four-time Gold Glove Award winner (1994-1997), five time Silver Slugger Award winner (1989, 1994-1998), the 2007 Roberto Clemente Award winner and had his No.7 retired by the Houston Astros.

Biggio and Morris should have been the only inductees in the 2013 Class. Next year Biggio will be voted into the Hall of Fame, while Morris will be a question mark.

2014 Percentage Prediction: 82.1

3. Frank Thomas (Chicago White Sox, Oakland Athletics, Toronto Blue Jays) 

Why?  With a .301 batting average with 521 home runs (ranking him 18th in career homers), 1,704 RBI’s (ranks 22nd all time) and 2,468 hits (ranks 100th all time). “The Big Hurt” was known for his stunning home run power and clutch play.

The Auburn alum played 19 years in the Major Leagues (16 years with the Chicago White Sox, two years with the Oakland A’s and two years with the Toronto Blue Jays). Thomas was a two time American League MVP (1993,1994), a five time All-Star (1993-1997), a four time Silver Slugger Award winner (1991, 1993, 1994, 2000), the 1997 AL batting champion, the 2000 AL Comeback Player of the Year, the 1995 Home Run Derby champion and his No.35 was retired by the White Sox.

Thomas was a monster in the 90’s. He currently holds several White Sox batting records, including all-time leader in runs scored, home runs, doubles, RBI’s, extra base hits, walks, total bases, slugging percentage and on-base percentage. He was a fan favorite every team he played for. Thomas also was never mentioned as a steroid user in an era filled with cheaters.

The one thing that will hurt Thomas is the fact that he was a designated hitter, which is frowned upon by many BBWA voters. Edgar Martinez was one of the best right-handed hitters in MLB history. Martinez only gathered 35.9 percent of the votes this year.

Thomas is one of the best and most dominant hitters of all time. The fact that he wasn’t any part of the steroid talks makes Thomas an attractive candidate for class of 2014. Thomas deserves to be a first ballot inductee.

2014 Percentage Prediction: 75

4. Greg Maddux (Chicago Cubs, Atlanta Braves, Los Angeles Dodgers, San Diego) 

Why? With 355 career wins (eighth all time), a 3.16 ERA and 3,371 strikeouts Maddux will without a doubt be a first ballot inductee. Maddux won the Cy Young four times from 1992-1995. During those years he won the Cy Young Maddux posted a 75-29 record with an unreal 1.98 ERA. Maddux made eight All-Star appearances (1988,1992, 1994-1998, 2000), won 18 Gold Gloves (1990-2002, 2004-2008). Maddux No.31 is also retired by the Chicago Cubs and Atlanta Braves.

Without any question Maddux will be in the Hall of Fame next year. He is the most deserving candidate on the 2014 ballot.

2014 Percentage Prediction: 93.5

5. Tom Glavine (Atlanta Braves, New York Mets) 

Why? Glavine and Maddux were the best pitching duo of the 90’s. The two were dominate as the Atlanta Braves 1-2 punch. Glavine compiled a 305-203 record with a 3.54 ERA and 2,607 strikeouts. Glavine was a five time 20-game winner and two-time Cy Young winner.

The lefty was also a ten time All-Star (1991-1993, 1996-200, 2002, 2004, 2006), a four-time Silver Slugger Award winner (1991, 1995-1996, 1998) and the 1995 World Series MVP. Like Maddux his No.47 was retired by the Atlanta Braves.

2014 Percentage Prediction: 79.3

So for the Class of 2014 I have Jack Morris, Craig Biggio, Frank Thomas, Greg Maddux and Tom Glavine. This class will be one of the greatest to be enshrined in MLB History. All these players had amazing careers and were clean players in an era that will forever be known as the Steroid Era.

The Just missed list

Jeff Bagwell: 2014 Percentage Prediction: 68.3

Mike Piazza: 2014 Percentage Prediction: 66.7

Tim Raines: 2014 Percentage Prediction: 64.9

Roger Clemens: 2014 Percentage Prediction: 52.4

 

 

All good things must come to an end and my streak of covers has ended. I finally lost when the Gators failed to cover a -14.5 spread, as they lost to the Cardinals of Louisville 33-23.  With only one college football game to go I unveil my last college football-betting pick of the season, as I pick who will cover the 2013 BCS National Championship Game. Let’s end the season on a high note. Thank you for all the people who’ve read my posts throughout this long season.

2012-13 ATS record – 30-16 ATS

 

BCS National Championship Game – No. 2 Alabama Crimson Tide (12-1) vs. No. 1 Notre Dame Fighting Irish (12-0)

Date: Jan. 7 @ 8:30 ET

Line: Notre Dame +9.5

Despite being undefeated, many experts believe that Notre Dame has little to no chance at winning the prized crystal football against heavily favored Alabama. Two of the most storied college football programs in NCAA history take on each other under the bright lights of Miami, but before I make my pick lets take a look back at each teams road to South Beach.

Alabama- Coming into the 2012 season as the defending BCS National Champions, the Crimson Tide entered the pre-season as the second ranked team in the FBS. The Tide entered the season without stars Dont’a Hightower (LB/New England Patriots), Dre Kirkpatrick (CB/Cincinnati Bengals) and Trent Richardson (RB/Cleveland Browns), who declared for the 2012 NFL Draft. Quarterback A.J. McCarron and running backs Eddie Lacy and T.J. Yeldon we’re  considered the leaders of this years squad.

Alabama won their first nine games against No.8 Michigan 41-14, Western Kentucky University 35-0, Arkansas 52-0, Florida Atlantic 40-7, Ole Miss 33-14, Missouri 42-10,Tennessee 44-13, No.13 Mississippi State 38-7 and No.5 LSU 21-17. Things were looking good for the Tide as they took on a freshman quarterback by the name of Johnny “Football” Manziel at Bryant-Denny Stadium on an warm Alabama November day. In the first meeting against Texas A&M  as conference foes, the future Heisman winner (Manziel) carried his Aggies to an upset victory against the No.1 ranked Crimson Tide 29-24. The loss sent ‘Bama to No.4 in the BCS rankings and gave them little hope for the opportunity to play in the BCS National Championship.

Alabama would easily defeat the less-superior Western Carolina Catamounts 49-0. In what would be a little help from above, No.2 Kansas State and No.3 Oregon would both fall, making Alabama the No.2 ranked team in the BCS. Alabama would win the Iron Bowl 49-o and come back from a deficit in the SEC Championship game against Georgia and win the SEC Championship game. The win at the SEC Championship game punched the Crimson Tide’s ticket to South Beach.

A.J. McCarron 2,669 passing yards, 26 touchdowns and three interceptions

Eddie Lacy 1,182 rushing yards 16 touchdowns

T.J. Yeldon 1,000 rushing yards 11 touchdowns

Category           Average     FBS Rank

Total Yards   439.1           40th

Points For      38.5            15th

Points Again 10.7            2nd

Notre Dame- Entering his third season as head coach, Brian Kelly and his Fighting Irish entered 2012  unranked and with optimism at quarterback. Senior Dayne Crist was granted a release by the team (he would later go to the University of Kansas), junior Tommy Rees was suspended after he was arrested and charged with resisting law enforcement and illegal consumption of alcohol by a minor and an unproven quarterback by the name of Everett Golson who would be named the main man under center in the first game of the season. Kelly’s unranked Fighting Irish opened the season at Aviva Stadium in Dublin, Ireland against Navy.

The Irish came into this game with a fire in their eye as they destroyed the Midshipmen 50-10. After the impressive 40-point victory in Ireland, the Irish barely escaped Purdue, as Rees entered the game in the fourth quarter and put together a last-minute drive that led to a 20-17 victory over Purdue on kicker Kyle Brindza’s 27-yard field goal.

The Irish would put together nice victories against No.10 Michigan State, No.17 Michigan and a blowout in Chicago against Miami (FL) led to two scary games against Stanford and BYU. Though Notre Dame prevailed many experts pointed out how overrated the Irish were.

Notre Dame would finish the season undefeated beating No.8 Oklahoma 30-13, Pittsburgh (in three overtimes) 29-26, Boston College 21-6, Wake Forest 38-0 and USC 22-13. The undefeated season led to the Irish getting the final No.1 BCS ranking and their tickets punched to South Beach to take on Alabama in the BCS National Championship Game.

Everett Golson 2,135 passing yards 11 touchdowns and five interceptions. 305 rushing yards five touchdowns.

Theo Riddick 880 rushing yards, five touchdowns

Cierre Wood 740 rushing yards, four touchdowns

Manti Te’o 103 total tackles, seven interceptions (second in Heisman voting)

Category          Average          FBS Rank

Total Yards  421.3                49th

Points For     26.8                 76th

Points Against  10.3            1st

 

Recent Trends

Alabama is 6-7 ATS this year.

Notre Dame is 7-5 ATS this year.

Alabama is 1-4 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record.

Notre Dame is 4-2 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record

Alabama is 2-3 ATS in their last five games.

Notre Dame is 4-1 ATS in their last five games.

Alabama is 2-0 the last three years in bowl games.

Notre Dame is 1-1 the last three years in bowl games.

Pick – Two storied programs take center stage in what will be one of the most memorable BCS National Championship Games of all time. Without any doubt Notre Dame comes into this game with a chip on their shoulder. The last time Notre Dame played in a BCS National Championship was back in 1988, when Lou Holtz took Notre Dame to the Fiesta Bowl (in which they beat the No.3 West Virginia Mountaineers capturing the national championship).

Notre Dame is hungry for a title and will take full advantage of this opportunity. Notre Dame’s defense has been their crown jewel, but defense won’t be enough to get the win against Alabama, Notre Dame needs an improved effort from their offense in this game. Golson and Co. need to play the best games of their careers.

On the other hand Alabama will look to win back-to-back titles and their third BCS title in four years. The Tide will also look to keep the BCS title in the SEC, as no other conference has won a BCS title to date. A strong defense and offense backs the Crimson Tide this year. The Tide need to score early and find a way to get the Irish defense out of ryhtm. If the Tide can distrupt the Irish defense Alabama will win the BCS title.

The Tide outsize and are faster than the Irish, as are many other SEC teams…but as the great Lee Corso says “not so fast my friends,” Notre Dame has proved the experts wrong all season long. The fact that Notre Dame has a huge chip on their shoulder and their hunger for the title makes Kelly’s squad scary enough to win the game straight up. I’m picking Notre Dame to cover and win the BCS National Championship. All streaks must come to an end right. The SEC will not bring home the BCS National Championship this season, as the Irish win. Take ND in a low scoring affair. Notre Dame +9.5

Notre Dame 20, Alabama 17

All lines are subject to change based on the line movement. All lines are from ScoresandOdds.com

All stats are from ESPN.

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Hello everyone, welcome back to another edition of my college football betting picks. In this edition I will give you my pick for the 2013 Allstate Sugar Bowl between the Big East’s Louisville Cardinals and the SEC powerhouse Florida Gators. But before we get to the pick let’s review my previous picks.

Standing at 27-15 ATS, I picked Georgia Tech to cover the +7.5 spread against USC. Georgia Tech’s triple-option and defense proved to be too much for the Trojans of USC as the Yellow Jackets won 21-7.

With a win under my belt, I said to take Tulsa to cover the +1.5 point spread against Iowa State. After a slow beginning to the game Tulsa came back and got revenge on the Cyclones winning the Liberty Bowl 31-17.

With six straight covers, I said to take Northwestern to cover the -1.5 point spread against the Bulldogs of Mississippi State at the TaxSlayer.com Gator Bowl. Northwestern came out fast and strong as they displayed a powerful rushing attack and strong defense en route to a 34-20 victory.

Let’s keep the money train rolling with my Sugar Bowl pick.

2012-13 ATS record – 30-15 ATS

 

Allstate Sugar Bowl – No. 22 Louisville Cardinals (10-2) vs. No. 4 Florida Gators (11-1)

Date: Jan. 2 @ 8:30 ET

Line: Florida favored by -14.5

Louisville enters this game with an impressive 10-2 campaign under head coach (and former Florida Defensive Coordinator 2002-2009) Charlie Strong. The Cardinals will face a defense that is not comparable to any defensive unit Louisville has squared off against this season. Florida currently has a defensive unit that is ranked third in the nation allowing just 12.9 points per game.

The major problem for the Cardinals will be the status of their star quarterback Teddy Bridgewater. Bridgewater has a wrist injury, but will play in tonights game. Without any question Bridgewater is the best quarterback to go unnoticed by the public eye. Bridgewater threw for 3,452 yards with 25 touchdowns and seven interceptions this year.

The one thing the Cardinals have going for them is their defense. Despite having the 35th best rushing attack in the nation the Gators have a terrible passing attack, as they average 143.9 yards per game making them the 118th best in the nation in passing yards per game. The Cardinals defense should be thankful they are playing a tough SEC team with no offense.

Florida had an exceptional year under second year head coach Will Muschamp. The Gators come into this game with a tough defense, that has held their opponents to just an average of 282.6 yards per game. Florida’s defense will be licking their chops as they will face off against an injured Bridgewater. It will be like an injured animal near Gator infested water.

I expect the Gators defense to attack at will and be relentless all night. The Gators defense proved that they can stop elite quarterbacks all season. They squared off against Florida State’s E.J. Manuel, Tennessee’s Tyler Bray and Heisman Trophy winner Johnny Manziel from Texas A&M and won all three of those matches.

The Gators have the defense, the only question is how well will their offense play be.  Sophomore Jeff Driskel averaged 133.7 passing yards per game and finished the 2012 season with 1,471 yards and 11 touchdowns. The Gators offense needs to show up against this Louisville defense.

Recent Trends

Louisville is 5-6-1 ATS this year.

Florida is 7-5 ATS this year.

Louisville 2-2-1 ATS in their last five games.

Florida is 1-4 ATS in their last five games.

Louisville is 1-1 the last three years in bowl games.

Florida is 2-0 the last three years in bowl games.

Pick – Florida is a great team, but their offense scares me. With such a high line heading into this game Florida needs their offense to show up. Louisville is also a scary pick due to the fact that Teddy Bridgewater is injured. With Bridgewater’s injury and the Gators defense being as tough as they are, I’m taking the Florida Gators to cover the 14.5 spread. Take Florida. Florida -14.5

Florida Gators 31, Louisville 10

All lines are subject to change based on the line movement. All lines are from ScoresandOdds.com


Welcome to the opening edition of my College Football Betting Picks on Sports Blog Net. Before moving on from the Bleacher Report, I compiled a record of 26-15 ATS (11-2 in my Game of the Week picks). Two days ago I wrote on my WordPress to take Syracuse to cover the +3.5 spread against West Virginia. Syracuse covered the spread and beat West Virginia 38-14, in a snowy Yankee Stadium.

Let’s keep the money train rolling into the New Year, with my five bowl games to make a play on. Have a happy and safe New Year. Pick number three

TaxSlayer.com Gator Bowl – Mississippi State Bulldogs (8-4) vs. No. 20 Northwestern Wildcats (9-3)

Date: Jan. 1 @ NOON ET

Line: Northwestern favored by -1.5

Northwestern is aiming to abolish their 63-year bowl drought with a win against Dan Mullin’s Bulldogs of Mississippi State.

Without a doubt, Northwestern has more to play for in this interesting SEC Big Ten match-up. First off, the last time Northwestern won was back in 1948, when they beat California 20-14 in the Rose Bowl.

Since Northwestern has lost nine consecutive bowl losses, which is tied for the longest bowl losing streak of all time. Secondly, Northwestern should be undefeated. Three fourth quarter collapses against Penn State, Nebraska and Michigan led to their only defeats of the season

Pat Fitzgerald has turned Northwestern into an annual Big Ten contender. This season Northwestern used an array of tough defense (except against the pass) and average offense to propel them to a nine-win season. Running back Venric Mark had a superb 2012 campaign as he rushed for 1,356 yards with 11 touchdowns. He will be the key factor in this matchup as the Bulldogs have struggled to stop the run all year. In the Bulldogs four losses they gave up an average of 223 yards per game on the ground.

Northwestern averaged 230 yards per game on the ground, which was good enough for 15th in the FBS. Northwestern also carries two impressive quarterbacks on their roster. Kain Colter has rushed for 820 yards and thrown for 796 yards, while raking up 20 touchdowns (12 rushing, 8 passing). Colter will take most of the snaps under center, while sophomore Trevor Siemian will take the other snaps. Siemian has been the Wildcats big arm, as he’s compiled 1,192 passing yards with six touchdowns and two interceptions.

Mississippi State at one point of the season carried an undefeated record, before losing three straight to Alabama, Texas A&M and LSU. Their in-state rival Ole Miss in the season finale also embarrassed the Bulldogs, when they beat MSU 41-24. Riding a 1-3 record in their last four games, the Bulldogs would like to win this game and preserve the Wildcats bowl drought. Currently the Bulldogs program has won five straight bowl games, as Mullin has gone a perfect 3-0 in his first three bowl game appearances.

The keys for the Bulldogs will be to pass, pass, pass and defense. Tyler Russell had a stellar 2012 season, as he broke nearly all Bulldog single season passing records. Russell threw for 2,791 yards with 22 touchdowns. Russell will face off against the Wildcats 101st ranked passing defense. Look for Russell to try to exploit the Wildcats’ weak pass defense.

Recent Trends

Mississippi State is 6-6 ATS this season.

Northwestern is 11-1 ATS this season.

Mississippi State is 0-3 ATS as an underdog this season.

Northwestern is 6-0 ATS as a favorite.

Mississippi State is 6-4 ATS in games played on a grass field.

Northwestern is 8-1 ATS in games played on a grass field.

Pick- Northwestern has come so close to breaking the drought under Pat Fitzgerald. I believe this year will be the year the Wildcats put together a victory. The Wildcats and Bulldogs will battle back and forth, but the Wildcats will win and cover breaking the 63-yard old drought. Take Wildcats.

Northwestern -1.5

Northwestern 31, Mississippi State 27

All lines are subject to change based on the line movement. All lines are from ScoresandOdds.com.

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Welcome to the opening edition of my College Football Betting Picks on Sports Blog Net. Before moving on from the Bleacher Report, I compiled a record of 26-15 ATS (11-2 in my Game of the Week picks). Two days ago I wrote on my WordPress to take Syracuse to cover the +3.5 spread against West Virginia. Syracuse covered the spread and beat West Virginia 38-14, in a snowy Yankee Stadium.

Let’s keep the money train rolling into the New Year, with my five bowl games to make a play on. Have a happy and safe New Year. Pick number two

AutoZone Liberty Bowl – Iowa State (6-6) vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane (10-3)

Date: Dec. 31 @ 3:30 PM ET

Line: Tulsa +1.5

In a re-match from Sept. 1, the Golden Hurricanes of Tulsa look to avenge their 38-23 loss that was handed to them by Iowa State.

Tulsa makes their eighth bowl appearance this decade and looks to win 11 games for the second time in their program history. Tulsa’s offense has been the key to their success as the Golden Hurricanes are ranked 25th in the NCAA (average 460.8 yards per game).

The main course of the Golden Hurricanes offensive attack has been their rushing attack. A running back duo-attack led by Juniors Trey Watts (959 rushing yards with three touchdowns) and Ja’Terian Douglas (857 rushing yards and seven touchdowns) has brought their opponents defenses to their limits. Their rushing attack averages 240.2 yards per game, which ranks Tulsa 11th in the NCAA. Tulsa

Despite losing five of their past seven games, Iowa State snuck into this bowl game over Louisiana Tech. Iowa State has struggled on both sides of the ball. The Cyclones average a less than impressive 372.2 total yards per game, which ranks Iowa State 90th in the NCAA. Iowa State averages 25.2, which is ranked near the bottom of the NCAA (85th). The Cyclones defense is ranked 98th in total defense giving up 444.83 yards per game. To make matters worse, Iowa State will be without three-time All-Big 12 linebacker Jake Knott. Knott will be sidelined as he’s recovering from shoulder surgery.

Recent Trends

Iowa State is 5-6-1 ATS this season.

Tulsa is 8-5 ATS this season.

Iowa State is 2-3 ATS in their last five games.

Tulsa is 3-2 ATS in their last five games.

Pick- In what is destined to be a rain-filled sloppy game, the key to victory will be the rushing attack. Don’t be fooled by the line. Iowa State is by no means a better football team than Tulsa. Rain and a terrible Iowa State defense should help the Golden Hurricanes rushing attack. Tulsa should win and cover this game easily. Take Tulsa.

Tulsa +1.5

Tulsa 38, Iowa State 24

All lines are subject to change based on the line movement. All lines are from ScoresandOdds.com

Who will cover the spread…Tulsa or Iowa State?

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Who will cover the spread…USC or Georgia Tech?

Welcome to the opening edition of my College Football Betting Picks on Sports Blog Net. Before moving on from the Bleacher Report, I compiled a record of 26-15 ATS (11-2 in my Game of the Week picks). Two days ago I wrote on my WordPress to take Syracuse to cover the +3.5 spread against West Virginia. Syracuse covered the spread and beat West Virginia 38-14, in a snowy Yankee Stadium.

Let’s keep the money train rolling into the New Year, with my five bowl games to make a play on. Have a happy and safe New Year. Pick number one

Hyundai Sun Bowl – Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (6-7) vs. USC Trojans (7-5)

Date: Dec. 31 @ 2:00 PM ET

Line: USC favored by 7.5

From pre-season number one to a disappointing trip to El Paso, Texas, the Lane Kiffin led Trojans will try to salvage a less than inspiring 2012 season. USC began the season on the right track winning six of their first seven games.

The home stretch though was a different story. USC lost four of their last five games, falling victims to Arizona, Oregon, UCLA and Notre Dame. USC could be in serious trouble heading into the Sun Bowl, as their star quarterback Matt Barkley will be inactive for a second straight game due to a shoulder injury. Barkley, who’s draft stock has been on the decline will leave USC as the best quarterback to ever wear the Cardinal and Gold. Freshman Max Wittek (281 yards passing with two touchdowns and two interceptions) will be under center for the Trojans.

Georgia Tech enters this bowl game with the fourth best rushing attack in the nation (averaging 312.5 yards per game), but the 119 ranked passing attack in the FBS (averaging 134.1 yards per game.

Coach Paul Johnson’s triple-option attack has been very effective this season and should pose a serious threat to the Trojan defense, which is ranked 58 in the FBS giving up 156.4 yards per contest. Seniors Tevin Washington (quarterback) and Orwin Smith (running back) head the rushing attack as they’ve compiled 1,311 yards and 24 touchdowns (19 from Washington) combined.

Recent Trends

Georgia Tech is 8-5 ATS this season.

USC is 3-9 ATS this season.

Georgia Tech is 2-0 this season as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points.

USC is 1-3 this season as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points.

Pick- One thing that needs to be pointed out is the weather factor. The Sun Bowl is located at a high-elevation level in El Paso, Texas. The National Weather Center is forecasting 20 to 30-mile-per-hour gusts for the El Paso area.

The wind gusts can be the deciding factor for the match-up, as it will be tough to pass the ball. With the wind gusts and the weak Trojans defense against the run I’m taking Georgia Tech to cover the spread, but the Trojans will win straight up. Take Georgia Tech.

Georgia Tech +7.5

USC 30, Georgia Tech 24

All lines are subject to change based on the line movement. All lines are from ScoresandOdds.com.

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Posted: 30th December 2012 by mackie2912 in Uncategorized
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Come back to see my three college football betting picks for Dec 31 at 10:30 p.m. ET 27-15 ATS this season,